As you can see from the following charts, very few states display a steadily downward trend in daily per capita case numbers (logarithmic).
The US west and south regions (as defined by the US Census Bureau) are showing an upward trend. The most definitive downward trend is the northwest, which is driven by the March outbreak in New York and New Jersey.
For each region, I have highlighted states with upward per capita movement in cases.
The federal recommendation for reopening is that states have 14 days of steadily downward trending case numbers (in absolute numbers) before allowing more freedom for people to gather. This recommendation has been ignored.
By region
Note: there is no generally accepted definition for what constitutes US regions. This tool uses Census Bureau regions.
Northeast
DelMarVa (DC, DE, MD, VA)
Southeast (AL, FL, SC, NC)
South
Midwest
West
Individual states, weekly totals and daily average
By focusing on each week’s data (not normalized), these charts attempt minimize the daily fluctuations that result from the reporting process. The “daily” reports are not real time, however; the lag is unknown and probably differs by state. Moreover, some states are beginning to post infrequently (Kansas, M-W-F) or not on the weekends (Oregon and Rhode Island).
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Florida
New Mexico
North Carolina
Oklahoma
Oregon
South Carolina
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Washington
Links on Flourish: AL, AK AZ, CA, DC-MD-VA, FL, NC, NM, OK, OR, SC, TN, TX, UT, WA
Prior around the country in charts
See the newsletter, COVID-19 Memo from a news hound, 07 June 2020
