In ten years, we believe that online video broadcasting will be the most ubiquitous and accessible form of communication.
IF bandwidth gets better (ie, faster and available to more people, ideally with choice) AND network neutrality rules (in other words, your Internet pipe is treated by regulators like your telephone line) … then I think Hurley’s projection makes sense, at least regarding “the television.”
The jury remains out, IMO, on having video communication supplant text in terms of ubiquity and accessibility. It’s a lot faster for me to type this than to record it, edit out the rough spots (or not), and post it. It’s much faster for you to read it than it is for you to hear it.